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This is an archived track record. This track record was archived on 12/9/21 7:35 ET. (See latest track record)
These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more

The Phoenix
(138014729)

Created by: Avocado Avocado
Started: 10/2021
Futures
Last trade: 843 days ago
Trading style: Futures Momentum

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $595.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Futures
Momentum
Category: Equity

Momentum

Aims to capitalize on the continuance of existing trends in the market. Trader takes a long position in an asset in an upward trend, and short-sells a security that has been in a downward trend. While similar to Trend-following, tends to be more forward-looking (predicting oncoming trend), while Momentum is more backward-looking (observing already-established price direction).
-100.0%
Cumul. Return

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(90.6%)
Max Drawdown
50
Num Trades
52.0%
Win Trades
0.4 : 1
Profit Factor
3.3%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2021                                                               (0.6%)+1.8%(76.6%)(76.3%)
2022  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2023  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2024  -    -    -                                                        0.0

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

System developer has asked us to delay this information by 168 hours.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 83 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. To see live brokerage data, select Show AutoTrade Data, and click on a Live AutoTrade Indicator symbol.

Download CSV
Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
11/18/21 11:16 @NQZ1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 4 16500.85 12/6 18:12 15775.75 193.77%
Trade id #138246934
Max drawdown($77,028)
Time12/3/21 0:00
Quant open4
Worst price15538.00
Drawdown as % of equity-193.77%
($58,040)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $32.00
12/2/21 14:49 SPXW2207A4700 SPX Jan7'22 4700 call LONG 2 47.40 12/3 10:59 37.50 7.39%
Trade id #138435669
Max drawdown($2,000)
Time12/3/21 10:59
Quant open2
Worst price37.40
Drawdown as % of equity-7.39%
($1,983)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.40
11/24/21 4:14 @EMDZ1 Mini Midcap 400 LONG 1 2865.00 12/2 9:34 2670.10 20.93%
Trade id #138323415
Max drawdown($21,180)
Time12/1/21 0:00
Quant open1
Worst price2653.20
Drawdown as % of equity-20.93%
($19,498)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
11/18/21 10:28 @ESZ1 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 4672.25 12/1 19:15 4524.00 9.57%
Trade id #138245220
Max drawdown($8,725)
Time12/1/21 16:02
Quant open1
Worst price4497.75
Drawdown as % of equity-9.57%
($7,421)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
11/22/21 18:01 @MNQZ1 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 10 16392.09 12/1 16:51 15860.00 12.4%
Trade id #138301612
Max drawdown($11,311)
Time12/1/21 16:02
Quant open10
Worst price15826.50
Drawdown as % of equity-12.40%
($10,651)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $9.40
11/24/21 3:41 @MESZ1 MICRO E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 2 4685.50 12/1 16:50 4508.00 2.06%
Trade id #138323245
Max drawdown($1,877)
Time12/1/21 16:02
Quant open2
Worst price4497.75
Drawdown as % of equity-2.06%
($1,777)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.88
11/24/21 3:40 @MYMZ1 MICRO E-MINI DOW LONG 2 35741 12/1 16:50 34017 1.99%
Trade id #138323241
Max drawdown($1,811)
Time12/1/21 16:02
Quant open2
Worst price33930
Drawdown as % of equity-1.99%
($1,726)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.88
11/24/21 3:44 QMCLF2 MICRO CRUDE OIL LONG 1 78.99 12/1 16:50 65.72 1.33%
Trade id #138323273
Max drawdown($1,455)
Time11/30/21 0:00
Quant open1
Worst price64.44
Drawdown as % of equity-1.33%
($1,329)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.50
11/24/21 3:40 @M2KZ1 MICRO E-MINI RUSSELL 2000 LONG 2 2326.68 12/1 16:50 2143.10 2.08%
Trade id #138323238
Max drawdown($1,896)
Time12/1/21 16:02
Quant open2
Worst price2137.00
Drawdown as % of equity-2.08%
($1,838)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.88
11/18/21 11:33 @EMDZ1 Mini Midcap 400 LONG 2 2869.25 11/22 9:53 2883.00 2.56%
Trade id #138247186
Max drawdown($3,420)
Time11/19/21 0:00
Quant open1
Worst price2847.80
Drawdown as % of equity-2.56%
$2,734
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
11/15/21 18:17 @ESZ1 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 4679.25 11/18 9:27 4696.25 0.37%
Trade id #138204534
Max drawdown($425)
Time11/16/21 0:00
Quant open1
Worst price4670.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.37%
$842
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
11/15/21 18:16 @NQZ1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 3 16220.83 11/18 9:27 16394.00 0.83%
Trade id #138204531
Max drawdown($960)
Time11/16/21 0:00
Quant open1
Worst price16142.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.83%
$10,366
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
11/12/21 9:31 @RTYZ1 Russell 2000 CME LONG 1 2407.60 11/12 12:49 2407.80 0.22%
Trade id #138173078
Max drawdown($240)
Time11/12/21 10:44
Quant open1
Worst price2402.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.22%
$2
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
11/12/21 9:31 @NQZ1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 2 16068.20 11/12 12:47 16188.50 2.44%
Trade id #138173069
Max drawdown($2,658)
Time11/12/21 9:48
Quant open2
Worst price16001.80
Drawdown as % of equity-2.44%
$4,796
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
11/12/21 9:31 @ESZ1 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 4654.25 11/12 12:47 4674.25 0.39%
Trade id #138173076
Max drawdown($425)
Time11/12/21 9:38
Quant open1
Worst price4645.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.39%
$992
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
11/12/21 9:31 @EMDZ1 Mini Midcap 400 LONG 1 2889.90 11/12 12:47 2898.60 0.03%
Trade id #138173074
Max drawdown($30)
Time11/12/21 10:41
Quant open1
Worst price2889.60
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
$862
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
11/11/21 11:00 @RTYZ1 Russell 2000 CME LONG 1 2408.00 11/12 9:29 2415.50 0.15%
Trade id #138161611
Max drawdown($160)
Time11/12/21 0:00
Quant open1
Worst price2404.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.15%
$367
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
11/11/21 11:00 @ESZ1 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 4650.50 11/12 9:29 4656.25 0.39%
Trade id #138161609
Max drawdown($425)
Time11/11/21 15:59
Quant open1
Worst price4642.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.39%
$280
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
11/11/21 11:00 @EMDZ1 Mini Midcap 400 LONG 1 2886.50 11/12 9:29 2895.10 0.25%
Trade id #138161607
Max drawdown($270)
Time11/11/21 11:06
Quant open1
Worst price2883.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.25%
$852
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
11/11/21 11:00 @NQZ1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 2 16081.20 11/12 9:29 16072.00 2.83%
Trade id #138161605
Max drawdown($3,078)
Time11/11/21 15:14
Quant open2
Worst price16004.20
Drawdown as % of equity-2.83%
($384)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
11/11/21 10:28 @RTYZ1 Russell 2000 CME LONG 1 2403.10 11/11 11:00 2408.10 0.09%
Trade id #138161018
Max drawdown($100)
Time11/11/21 10:33
Quant open1
Worst price2401.10
Drawdown as % of equity-0.09%
$242
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
11/11/21 10:28 @ESZ1 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 4647.75 11/11 11:00 4650.75 0.19%
Trade id #138161014
Max drawdown($200)
Time11/11/21 10:32
Quant open1
Worst price4643.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.19%
$142
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
11/11/21 10:28 @EMDZ1 Mini Midcap 400 LONG 1 2883.20 11/11 11:00 2886.60 0.23%
Trade id #138161011
Max drawdown($250)
Time11/11/21 10:33
Quant open1
Worst price2880.70
Drawdown as % of equity-0.23%
$332
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
11/11/21 10:28 @NQZ1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 2 16054.00 11/11 11:00 16082.20 0.58%
Trade id #138161009
Max drawdown($620)
Time11/11/21 10:32
Quant open2
Worst price16038.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.58%
$1,112
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
11/11/21 10:26 @RTYZ1 Russell 2000 CME LONG 1 2406.90 11/11 10:28 2403.30 0.17%
Trade id #138160949
Max drawdown($180)
Time11/11/21 10:28
Quant open1
Worst price2403.30
Drawdown as % of equity-0.17%
($188)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
11/11/21 10:26 @ESZ1 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 4650.25 11/11 10:28 4648.25 0.09%
Trade id #138160947
Max drawdown($100)
Time11/11/21 10:28
Quant open1
Worst price4648.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.09%
($108)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
11/11/21 10:26 @EMDZ1 Mini Midcap 400 LONG 1 2885.20 11/11 10:28 2882.90 0.22%
Trade id #138160945
Max drawdown($230)
Time11/11/21 10:28
Quant open1
Worst price2882.90
Drawdown as % of equity-0.22%
($238)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
11/11/21 10:26 @NQZ1 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 STK IDX LONG 2 16063.50 11/11 10:28 16056.35 0.27%
Trade id #138160943
Max drawdown($286)
Time11/11/21 10:28
Quant open2
Worst price16056.30
Drawdown as % of equity-0.27%
($302)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.00
11/11/21 8:58 @RTYZ1 Russell 2000 CME LONG 1 2400.20 11/11 10:25 2406.20 0.39%
Trade id #138158436
Max drawdown($420)
Time11/11/21 9:39
Quant open1
Worst price2391.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.39%
$292
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
11/11/21 8:58 @ESZ1 E-MINI S&P 500 LONG 1 4659.25 11/11 10:25 4649.50 0.58%
Trade id #138158434
Max drawdown($625)
Time11/11/21 10:17
Quant open1
Worst price4646.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.58%
($496)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    10/30/2021
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $100,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    874.69
  • Age
    29 months ago
  • What it trades
    Futures
  • # Trades
    50
  • # Profitable
    26
  • % Profitable
    52.00%
  • Avg trade duration
    2.5 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    90.56%
  • drawdown period
    Nov 22, 2021 - Dec 03, 2021
  • Cumul. Return
    -76.3%
  • Avg win
    $1,566
  • Avg loss
    $4,802
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $25,471
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $25,471
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    0.35:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    -0.6
  • Sortino Ratio
    -0.67
  • Calmar Ratio
    -1.174
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    -78.38%
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.06980
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    14.02%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    -100.0%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    474.60%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    -0.763%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    0.03%
  • Percent Trades Futures
    0.97%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.97%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    n/a
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt Since TOS Status
    n/a
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    -43.2%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    100.00%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    100.00%
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    100.00%
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    100.00%
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    100.00%
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    100.00%
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    57.00%
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    8.00%
  • Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    62.04%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    100.00%
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    478
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    975
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    896
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Win
    $1,567
  • Avg Loss
    $4,802
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $115,260.000
  • # Winners
    26
  • Num Months Winners
    1
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    30
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $40,730.000
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    0
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    24
  • % Winners
    52.0%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    3531.43
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    58.86
  • Avg Trade Length
    2.5 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    837
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    18.13
  • Daily leverage (max)
    65.41
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    -0.12
  • Beta
    0.21
  • Treynor Index
    -0.54
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.06
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    -0.09
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    -2.271
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.21
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.01
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.12
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.460
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.316
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    -0.440
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -2.71000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.15600
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -309858000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    11
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    n/a

Strategy Description

The Phoenix Trades model has been back-tested for seven years. Our proprietary system looks for an array of situations and includes both short (1-5 days) and long-term (1-4 weeks) futures plays.
The Phoenix Trader system looks for unusual Futures volume, parabolic price/time movements, drastic changes in the relative strength, and a host of other studies. These factors are then given a score based on the values in each of the studies. All of this data is then weighted against current market conditions to determine our recommendations. Some indicators point to longer-term plays, while others are only short-lived. Regardless of the time frame, our system removes the guesswork and allows you to maximize your gains.
it's our most Aggressive strategy.

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2021-10-30
Suggested Minimum Capital
$25,000
# Trades
50
# Profitable
26
% Profitable
52.0%
Correlation S&P500
0.070
Sharpe Ratio
-0.60
Sortino Ratio
-0.67
Beta
0.21
Alpha
-0.12
Leverage
18.13 Average
65.41 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

#PERSONNAME#
subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Finally, please note that you can restore public visibility at any time.

This strategy is no longer visible to the public. No subscribers will be allowed.

You can restore public visibility at any time.

Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.